Retirement
Facts
"In the United
States today we are facing a
crisis in “retirement readiness.”
... Individually, many Americans have failed to plan for two key
retirement income risk factors that may cause their retirement
resources to run out well before their retirement objectives are
fulfilled. ... To address the retirement readiness crisis, it is
imperative that all Americans develop a personal retirement
plan. Americans
need to understand that they must take personal
responsibility for their financial futures."
Excerpts from
a statement, The “Retirement Readiness” Crisis in the United
States, by Benjamin J. Stein (Host, Ben Stein's Money) Honorary Chairperson The
National Retirement Planning Coalition, before the United
States House of Representatives' House Committee on
Education and the Workforce hearing on: “Preparing for
Retirement: Strengthening Pension Security for All
Americans” Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2004
www.retireonyourterms.org
Retirement
Planning
66% of workers believe they will reach their savings goals by
the time they retire. Employee Benefit Research Institute
www.ebri.org
42%
of workers have actually tried to
calculate how much money they
will need for retirement. Employee Benefit Research Institute
35%
lie to themselves, in a poll of households with $50,000 or more
in income, about their financial reality by not thinking about
it, refusing to look at personal financial statements, putting
off paying bills, ignoring financial news, or avoid working with
a financial advisor.
Journal of Financial Planning, July 2005, Money magazine poll,
www.fpanet.org/journal/index.cfm
Bulls, Bears, and
Retirement Behavior -
"Statistical results firmly refute the notion that
the 2000 drop in retirement was linked to the stock
market." National Bureau of Economic Research
http://www.nber.org/digest/apr05/w10779.html
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Social
Security
Under the intermediate assumptions, the OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS
INSURANCE AND DISABILITY INSURANCE (OASDI-known as Social Security)
cost rate is projected to decline slightly during 2005 through
2007 and then increase up to the current level within the next
3 years. It then begins to increase rapidly and first exceeds
the income rate in 2017, producing cash-flow deficits thereafter.
Despite these cash-flow deficits, beginning in 2017, redemption
of trust fund assets will allow continuation of full benefit payments
on a timely basis until 2041, when the trust funds will become
exhausted. This redemption process will require a flow of cash
from the General Fund of the Treasury. Pressures on the Federal
Budget will thus emerge well before 2041. Even if a trust fund's
assets are exhausted, however, tax income will continue to flow
into the fund. Present tax rates would be sufficient to pay 74
percent of scheduled benefits after trust fund exhaustion in 2041
and 68 percent of scheduled benefits in 2079. Source: 2005 OASDI
Trustees Report, PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE FINANCIAL STATUS http://www.ssa.gov/
Pensions
While the number of companies required to file such reports grew
only modestly, the amount of under funding reported by the 4010
filers grew by 27 percent as compared to a year ago - from $279
billion to $354 billion. These 1,108 plans covering 15 million
workers and retirees had $786.8 billion in assets to cover over
$1.14 trillion in liabilities, for an average funded ratio of
69 percent. Source: Testimony of Bradley D. Belt Executive Director
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation before the Committee on Finance
United States Senate June 7, 2005 http://www.pbgc.gov/
The
Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
estimates that the present value of PBGC’s net costs
for defined-benefit pension insurance for single-employer plans
over the next 10 years is about $86.7 billion. That total
consists of two distinct components: $23.3 billion of losses
from insurance claims for plans that have already terminated or
whose termination is imminent, and $63.4 billion of prospective
losses over the next 10 years for terminations that have not yet
occurred, net of future premiums. Total costs (“sunk”—for plans
that have been terminated—and prospective) for 15- and 20-year
horizons are $119 billion and $141.9 billion, respectively.
Several policy options are available to the Congress to induce
plan sponsors to more fully absorb the costs of their pension
commitments and thus to reduce prospective losses. Effective
options fall into two broad categories: increasing premiums to
better reflect the value of insurance; and increasing sponsor
resources by tightening the rules that govern investment,
accounting, and funding. Although such changes would tend to
reduce the financial shortfall of the defined-benefit pension
system, they also
would affect the incentives of plan sponsors, both with respect
to taking risks and continuing to offer defined benefit
pensions. Raising the costs to sponsors would
tend to push some employers toward lower-cost options, such as
defined-contribution plans, which shift investment risk to
employees, or toward other forms of compensation. Excerpts
source: A Congressional Budget Office Paper, September 2005, THE
RISK EXPOSURE OF THE PENSION BENEFIT GUARANTY CORPORATION.
www.cbo.gov
Page updated 27 Feb 06
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